Technical analyst Clive Maund charts silver and finds that it seems to be “significantly weaker than gold.”
Silver seems to be significantly weaker than gold, though that’s regular at this stage within the cycle. It’s nonetheless thought-about doubtless that it’s forming a Double Backside with its lows of late 2015, and in that case then the assist at these lows ought to maintain.
On silver’s 1-year chart it nonetheless seems to be like it’s shifting to finish a Cup & Deal with base, as a result of the sample roughly parallels the sample finishing in gold, though the downwardly skewed Deal with is driving the value again down in the direction of the neighborhood of the lows of the Cup. A breakout from the Deal with downtrend might be bullish though this does not look doubtless short-term due to hostile seasonal components.
In distinction to gold, silver’s newest COT chart is already beginning to look optimistic, though there’s room for additional enchancment which can happen, which means nonetheless decrease costs for silver in coming weeks, attributable to June being probably the most detrimental month seasonally for silver, though this may clearly not be the case if Iran is attacked.
Silver’s seasonal chart doesn’t bode effectively for coming weeks, though it ought to be emphasised that it is a background issue and silver has already dropped quite a bit and is approaching assist, so we aren’t anticipated to see way more draw back. The important thing bullish improvement to look out for is a breakout from the Deal with downtrend proven on the 1-year chart, though that will nonetheless be some weeks out.
The conclusion is that the large image for gold and silver continues to look strongly optimistic, though we might first must cope with weak spot between now and July because of the present downtrend coupled with detrimental seasonal components till the tip of June, which ought to current a window of alternative to construct positions throughout the sector forward of the anticipated late summer time advance that guarantees to be very substantial if gold succeeds in breaking above the important thing $1400 degree.
Initially revealed on CliveMaund.com on Could 19, 2019.
Clive Maund has been president of www.clivemaund.com, a profitable useful resource sector web site, since its inception in 2003. He has 30 years’ expertise in technical evaluation and has labored for banks, commodity brokers and stockbrokers within the Metropolis of London. He holds a Diploma in Technical Evaluation from the UK Society of Technical Analysts.
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